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Sydney–Hobart Yacht Race Weather: Light Winds to Start Then Strengthening Quickly

24th December 2014
Sydney–Hobart Yacht Race Weather: Light Winds to Start Then Strengthening Quickly

#rshyr – A strong wind caution has put the Sydney to Hobart race fleet on notice but a predicted lull has increasingly-fancied American newcomer Comanche. A number of Irish sailors are among the crews competing. 

A long-range weather briefing on Monday indicated the 117 yachts will begin racing in light easterly winds on Sydney harbour but should prepare for conditions to get livelier quickly.

"As the boats move out of the heads and start making their way down south, they'll encounter wind speeds of around 20 to 30 knots," said NSW Bureau of Meteorology's Andrew Treloar.

"It is likely we will have a strong wind warning."

Later in the race, however, the super-maxis are likely to be most affected by a lull as the lead boats reach Bass Strait, when winds could drop below five knots for around an hour.

Despite contesting its first big race, Comanche, the high-tech new super maxi owned by American Jim Clark and his Australian wife Kristy Hinze-Clark, is being well-backed to be first to Hobart, denying Wild Oats X1 a record eighth line honours victory.

Comanche navigator Stan Honey welcomed the forecast stiff winds early in the race but was wary of the light air expected for Saturday night.

In the vid above boatsontv.com spoke to top navigators Tom Addis of Perpetual LOYAL and Juan Vila Wild Oats XI along with Andrew Treloar of the BOM on the weather for the Race.

As the height of the festive holiday season approaches, preparations are in full swing and excitement fervent for Friday's start.

The magnitude of this 70th edition is reflected in the size of the international fleet: the forecast 117 race entrants, comprising yachts from seven different countries, represents the most sizeable Rolex Sydney Hobart depart since 1994.

"This year is both the 70th edition of the race and the 70th anniversary of the Cruising Yacht Club of Australia," explains John Cameron, Commodore of the race organisers. "There is a strong international flavour in 2014 with Maxis coming from America and lifting the level of appreciation of yachting around the world and the importance of this race. The Rolex Sydney Hobart is part of Australian culture; and for the start Sydney Harbour becomes an amphitheatre. An estimated 500,000 people will line the shoreline, together with hundreds of boats coming to watch the start on the water."

The pre-race weather briefings have provided competitors with an early idea for what to expect. Record-breaking conditions are not forecast; a gripping, intriguing, tactical adventure down to Hobart is guaranteed. Weathermen predict a strong southerly during the first day, slowing the progress of the 100-foot Maxis in their pursuit for line honours and the race record. The northerly breeze forecast, following the arrival of the frontrunners in Hobart, could benefit the mid-fleet in the pursuit of the coveted Tattersall's Cup awarded to the race's overall winner.

Wide demographic

The 2014 race's impressive and eclectic list of international competitors includes leading lights from the business world, America's Cup winners, a former supermodel, a plastic surgeon, soldiers and veterans from the Australian Defence Forces and champions from the sports of rugby and surfing. Competing yachts range from Sean Langman's 80-year old, nine metre Maluka of Kermandie, through to Southern Myth which first competed in the race in 1954, to the five 100-foot Maxis, the newest of which is Jim Clark's imperious Comanche from the United States. Foreign crews including the Polish entrants on Katharsis II and Selma Expedition have travelled thousands of nautical miles to compete in the race for a first time; contrasting to Martin Power's Bacardi set for her record twenty-ninth journey south. The race welcomes its very first competitor from South Korea, Sang Cho on Clipper Ventures 10; and witnesses Duende's Tony Cable compete in the race for a momentous 49th occasion. There are those planning days on a diet of freeze-dried food, others with a dedicated chef onboard.

Line honours quest

In the quest to be first to Hobart, Wild Oats XI, fastest finisher in seven of the last nine races, remains the crew to beat. An unprecedented eighth win would elevate Bob Oatley's crew to the record books surpassing the seven line honours victories set by Morna/Kurrewa IV between 1946 -1960.

Wild Oats XI's task is rendered more difficult, and intriguing, this year with the presence of the world's newest and most technologically sophisticated Maxi as her direct rival. Comanche arrives with great promise and potential. Clark will not be sailing south but his Comanche crew is stacked with an impressive array of professional sailing talent including skipper Ken Read and 2014 ISAF Rolex World Sailor of the Year, James Spithill. "This is sort of a Volvo 70 on steroids. It's an unusual design, pretty radical," explained Clark. "If I wanted to build a boat just for the Sydney to Hobart, I would have taken the most famous, successful boat of all time in that race and copied it. Instead, we designed a boat to be in open ocean races and try to break records. It's probably the most radical boat design in this race."

The crews of Wild Oats XI and Comanche are not expecting a simple head-to-head tussle for line honours. At 87, Australian sailing icon Syd Fischer is striving for success with his virtually rebuilt Ragamuffin 100. Fischer has already tasted line honours glory this year, winning the Rolex China Sea Race in April. Perpetual Loyal's Anthony Bell won line honours in 2011, and will seek to upset the formbook again. The Perpetual Loyal crew comprises Tom Slingsby, Spithill's America's Cup teammate and 2010 ISAF Rolex World Sailor of the Year. Manouch Moshayedi's RIO 100 makes for an interesting outsider, especially if conditions suit his boat. "We are made for lighter winds. If it is really windy Jim Clark will enjoy it, if it is really light I will!," admitted Moshayedi.

Defender of the crown

Victoire is the defending champion and seeking to make history becoming the first boat to win back-to-back Rolex Sydney Hobarts since the mid-1960s. As the early weather forecast indicates a race that could favour the mid-fleet, Darryl Hodgkinson's 50-ft boat could be among the pack primed for glory. Her winning mentality could make the difference. "In the last three Hobart's we won our division every time. We know we're getting better. We understand the sail plan better and are better prepared than last year. I'm nervous, but we're in a better place than last year," explained Hodgkinson.

The race record to beat is one day, 18 hours, 23 minutes and 12 seconds set by Wild Oats XI in 2012; requiring the first boat to arrive in Hobart on Sunday 28 December before 07:23.12 local time.

Published in Sydney to Hobart
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The Sydney Hobart Yacht Race

The Rolex Sydney Hobart Yacht Race is an annual offshore yacht racing event with an increasingly international exposure attracting super maxi yachts and entries from around tne world. It is hosted by the Cruising Yacht Club of Australia, starting in Sydney, New South Wales on Boxing Day and finishing in Hobart, Tasmania. The race distance is approximately 630 nautical miles (1,170 km).

The 2022 Rolex Sydney Hobart Yacht Race starts in Sydney Harbour at 1pm (AEDT) on Monday 26 December.

This is the 77th edition of the Rolex Sydney Hobart. The inaugural race was conducted in 1945 and has run every year since, apart from 2020, which was cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

88 boats started the 2021 Rolex Sydney Hobart, with 50 finishing.

The Sydney Hobart Yacht Race - FAQs

The number of Sydney Hobart Yacht Races held by the Cruising Yacht Club of Australia since 1945 is 75

6,257 completed the Sydney Hobart Yacht race, 1036 retired or were disqualified)

About 60,061 sailors have competed in the Sydney Hobart Race between 1945 and 2019

Largest fleets: 371 starters in the 50th race in 1994 (309 finished); 154 starters in 1987 (146 finished); 179 starters in 1985 (145 finished); 151 starters in 1984 (46 finished); 173 started in 1983 (128 finished); 159 started in 1981 (143 finished); 147 started in 1979 (142 finished); 157 started in 2019 (154 finished)

116 in 2004 (59 finished); 117 in 2014 (103 finished); 157 in 2019 (154 finished)

Nine starters in the inaugural Sydney Hobart Yacht Race in 1945

In 2015 and 2017 there were 27, including the 12 Clipper yachts (11 in 2017). In the record entry of 371 yachts in the 50th in 1994, there were 24 internationals

Rani, Captain John Illingworth RN (UK). Design: Barber 35’ cutter. Line and handicap winner

157 starters, 154 finishers (3 retirements)

IRC Overall: Ichi Ban, a TP52 owned by Matt Allen, NSW. Last year’s line honours winner: Comanche, Verdier Yacht Design and VPLP (FRA) owned by Jim Cooney and Samantha Grant, in 1 day 18 hours, 30 minutes, 24 seconds. Just 1hour 58min 32secs separated the five super maxis at the finish 

1 day 9 hours 15 minutes and 24 seconds, set in 2017 by LDV Comanche after Wild Oats XI was penalised one hour in port/starboard incident for a finish time of 1d 9h 48m 50s

The oldest ever sailor was Syd Fischer (88 years, 2015).

As a baby, Raud O'Brien did his first of some six Sydney Hobarts on his parent's Wraith of Odin (sic). As a veteran at three, Raud broke his arm when he fell off the companionway steps whilst feeding biscuits to the crew on watch Sophie Tasker sailed the 1978 race as a four-year-old on her father’s yacht Siska, which was not an official starter due to not meeting requirements of the CYCA. Sophie raced to Hobart in 1979, 1982 and 1983.

Quite a number of teenage boys and girls have sailed with their fathers and mothers, including Tasmanian Ken Gourlay’s 14-year-old son who sailed on Kismet in 1957. A 12-year-old boy, Travis Foley, sailed in the fatal 1998 race aboard Aspect Computing, which won PHS overall.

In 1978, the Brooker family sailed aboard their yacht Touchwood – parents Doug and Val and their children, Peter (13), Jacqueline (10), Kathryne (8) and Donald (6). Since 1999, the CYCA has set an age limit of 18 for competitors

Jane (‘Jenny’) Tate, from Hobart, sailed with her husband Horrie aboard Active in the 1946 Race, as did Dagmar O’Brien with her husband, Dr Brian (‘Mick’) O’Brien aboard Connella. Unfortunately, Connella was forced to retire in Bass Strait, but Active made it to the finish. The Jane Tate Memorial Trophy is presented each year to the first female skipper to finish the race

In 2019, Bill Barry-Cotter brought Katwinchar, built in 1904, back to the start line. She had competed with a previous owner in 1951. It is believed she is the oldest yacht to compete. According to CYCA life member and historian Alan Campbell, more than 31 yachts built before 1938 have competed in the race, including line honours winners Morna/Kurrewa IV (the same boat, renamed) and Astor, which were built in the 1920s.

Bruce Farr/Farr Yacht Design (NZL/USA) – can claim 20 overall wins from 1976 (with Piccolo) up to and including 2015 (with Balance)

Screw Loose (1979) – LOA 9.2m (30ft); Zeus II (1981) LOA 9.2m

TKlinger, NSW (1978) – LOA 8.23m (27ft)

Wild Oats XI (2012) – LOA 30.48m (100ft). Wild Oats XI had previously held the record in 2005 when she was 30m (98ft)

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