The expected wind and weather conditions for Saturday's Fastnet Race, while still unsettled, look to be averaging out. The dominant factor is a low-pressure area of 1008 currently (Thursday afternoon) off southeast Greenland. It will only deepen slowly as it curves southeast through the north of Ireland and the north of England on Saturday before heading northeast towards Norway, where its current predicted lowest pressure will be 991 by Tuesday afternoon.
Nevertheless, with unstable conditions generally, fresh bursts of weather energy could be generated at any time and in any area, and for now, we can be reasonably certain that the commentary team, which includes Ireland's Michael Boyd, will be kept busy as the lengthy starting procedure is implemented in a breeze Solent. After that, the likelihood is of windward work in pressure of varying strengths the whole way to the Rock.