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TCD Expert Warns Of East Coast Flood Risk Urgency

24th March 2026
Rising Tide Risk: TCD’s Prof Iris Möller warns of urgent need for coastal planning as climate change drives sea level rise and extreme flooding threats along Ireland’s east coast
Rising Tide Risk: TCD’s Prof Iris Möller warns of urgent need for coastal planning as climate change drives sea level rise and extreme flooding threats along Ireland’s east coast

A Trinity College Dublin (TCD) expert has said that planning must be put in place as a matter of urgency for extreme weather events on the Irish east coast.

Professor Iris Möller, TCD coastal geomorphologist, was responding to the World Meteorological Organisation’s (WMO) State of the Global Climate report 2025

The WMO report has confirmed 2015-2025 as the hottest 11 years on record, with 2025 as the second or third hottest year on record, at about 1.43 °C above the 1850-1900 average.

It highlights plummeting glaciers and sea ice, rising sea levels, increasing ocean heat and acidity, and the devastation of extreme weather events. 

In a statement issued to the All-Ireland Science Media Centre, Prof Möller says that it is “only a matter of time before we see this combination of extreme river and coastal flooding on the Irish east coast”.

“We must urgently implement a range of measures to deal with this risk via nature-based solutions, coastal protection measures, and emergency evacuation processes, as well as radically switching away from fossil fuels,” she has said.

“The WMO’s State of the Global Climate report 2025 is another reminder of the extent to which we as humans have altered the state of our planet’s life support systems. It also highlights how tightly our atmosphere, oceans, and land surfaces are interconnected,” she has said.

"The fact that the oceans have been absorbing so much of the excess heat has regulated our land surface temperatures somewhat. But this has come at a price: warmer water expands – and this is what has contributed, alongside the additional meltwater from land-based ice, to sea level rise,” Prof Möller adds. 

“With atmospheric warming exceeding the 1.5 C threshold over the course of this century, sea level rise is likely to exceed the 0.26-0.77 m range by 2100,” she noted.

"We have ample evidence for the naturally adaptive capacity of our coastlines as they have dynamically responded to past geological episodes during which sea levels have been both higher and lower than at present – but there has been no time in the past when we have built so close to the coast and in such low lying areas and where so many people have been at risk,” she said.

"When our coastal waters deepen, the cost of maintaining our engineered defences to keep us safe will escalate, as waves dissipate their energy less in deeper water.”

"As the energy of storms and associated waves will also rise in a warmer world and our engineered defences have interfered with the natural circulation of sediment, our soft coastal cliffs, beaches, and dunes become all the more vulnerable to erosion,” she said. 

“Storm Chandra in February showed us the consequences of intense rainfall on a highly modified landscape. If it had occurred during a high spring tide, the situation would have been many times worse in coastal towns and cities, including Dublin.”

Published in Weather, Marine Science
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About Afloat.ie – Weather

At Afloat.ie – Weather, we provide timely marine and coastal weather updates relevant to Ireland’s sailing, boating, fishing and watersports communities. The page features real-time reports, storm alerts, forecasts and climate-related developments that help readers stay informed about changing conditions around the Irish coast and offshore waters. From wind patterns and wave activity to severe weather advisories, our coverage draws on trusted sources such as Met Éireann and recognised maritime authorities.

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