World Sailing is reviewing both Hyeres Regatta in France in April and the 49er European Championships Greece in May as alternative Olympic Qualification Regattas following the postponement of March's Trofeo SAR Princesa Sofía yesterday.
As Afloat reported earlier, the Palma event will now be held in October due to COVID but it means it can no longer serve as a qualification event for July's Tokyo Games, itself under question due to the pandemic.
It's a developing scenario that casts doubt as to how the final European Olympic berth will be awarded.
As Afloat previously reported, four nations are in contention for just one skiff place, including Ireland.
And in a further twist to the story, one of the alternative regattas being considered has just suspended entries in the face of increasing lockdown measures.
Over the weekend, Hyeres Regatta is understood to be 'reviewing its quotas' for its April regatta due to French Government restrictions.
The Europeans (May 4-9) are the final major championship of the 2020 Quadrennial and will be held in Thessaloniki, just two months out from the Games.
As a result, some anxious European 49er teams will be keeping a good lookout from any updates from World Sailing this week in order that they can gain entry to events they may not necessarily have had on their campaign schedules.
North-south combination - Double Olympian Ryan Seaton (right) and Seafra Guilfoyle from Belfast Lough and Cork Harbour
According to 49er class insiders, World Sailing has promised to update sailors on the matter later this week.
Likewise, the aim is also to publish the new Asian and African Qualifier by the end of the week.
Historical results to favour Ireland?
Two Irish pairings for the Tokyo berth are up against Sweden, Italy and Belgium.
Double Olympian Ryan Seaton teamed with Seafra Guilfoyle and Robert Dickson and Sean Waddilove both chasing the elusive Olympic place.
If an alternative regatta can't be found and the matter can't be settled on the water, World Sailing said previously it would rely on historical results to decide the Olympic ticket as Afloat reported here.
Debut Olympic campaign - U23 49er World Champions Robert Dickson and Sean Waddilove from Howth and Skerries
Speculation on this point has now increased as the third wave of the pandemic in Europe is not going away any time soon.
Historial results may be good news for Ireland in this class. Form at the 2019 Worlds suggests that Irish sailors would be favourites for the Olympic place having finished ahead of the other three candidates but it is likely to be a complex scenario that awaits confirmation from World Sailing. Afloat has mulled through the paperwork to provide a guide to the qualification system here.
If it does comes to pass – and we are still some way off such a scenario – it will then be a matter of deciding which Irish 49er team is nominated. As regular Afloat readers will know, that's a process that has already caused consternation in Irish Olympic sailing circles this quadrennial.